06 April 2009

Retelling an Arab Narrative

My sense for the nuances in any discussion about Israel and Palestine does not run very deep. Once the conversation gets past "Palestinian terrorists cannot be allowed to fire rockets across the border and kill Israeli civilians," and "Israel has created and continues to exacerbate a deep humanitarian crisis in Gaza," the rest is pretty much lost on me. So when I read this Haaretz interview over the weekend, which I think articulates some of the nuances in a particularly clear way, I felt it worth slowing down and taking careful notice.

James Zogby is the founder of the Arab American Institute (and also the brother of American pollster John Zogby). In the interview, Zogby praises Obama, George Mitchell, and the Clinton years. He characterizes the recent Bush years as a disaster. And he talks sense about everything from Iran to the new Israeli government to Arab public relations during the Gaza offensive. I can't actually assess whether Zogby's observations are sound or if his ideas will pay out in the long run. But to speak sensibly about an insensible situation is to earn my attention.

The interview is brief, exciting, and, I daresay, inspiring. So if you've got ten minutes and want to understand why, perhaps, Iran doesn't actually give a rip about Israel, why we should be optimistic that an extremist Israeli hardliner will sit down to talk with Hamas, and why a retold Arab narrative should be compelling to the world, then read the interview.

03 April 2009

The Cover Story That Wasn't





Fresh from the allergist's waiting room, I'm still thinking about this week's Newsweek cover story on Paul Krugman, "Obama's Nobel Headache." What I had hoped would be an insightful slice-and-dice of the philosophical divide between The Nobel Laureate and The New Administration turned out to be an interesting but mostly fluffy sketch of Krugman the man. Totally interesting, like I said--think US Weekly for political swooners--but completely useless in getting beyond the superficial. Krugman believes the stock market as we've known it is a "dead man walking," while Obama appears to act (yes, I choose those words carefully) from the belief that, love it or hate it, the market is still the only battery with enough juice to run the pacemaker once the administration lets go.

The article relegates Krugman to the status of rebel boy genius with the slightly wounded ego. In other words, if I read Evan Thomas correctly, part of Krugman's direction now is fueled as much by a contrarian streak as by adherence to fundamental economic beliefs. The Thomas reduction is too bad, because it misses a bigger point. Paul Krugman could be among the administration's strongest economic allies were there a push from within to get beyond the status quo on Wall Street. Indeed, Krugman even lauded, albeit quietly, Obama's plans for regulation. But one of Krugman's biggest beefs with the current tack is that it perpetuates a busted system.

I'm not the only one who thinks Thomas missed an opportunity. Joan Walsh takes her turn here, painting Thomas as "smug." She also points out that Krugman doesn't simply broadly oppose Obama (as a contrarian might). And she's right. "There’s so much to like about where Obama is going — health care, transparency in government, ending the war in Iraq. And the stimulus bill is OK, though not big enough." That's not Walsh, that's Krugman on February 26.

Easy enough, right? Krugman thinks Obama is, broadly, on the right track. Based on a generalization that Krugman thinks Obama is wrong (in case you can't read the text on the thumbnail above, the type next to Krugman's mug reads "Obama is wrong"), Thomas simply chooses to present Krugman as the face of the progressive movement. And that's where any real conversation slips away.

Krugman's very next sentence in the blog post above reads, "But on the question of fixing the banks, many of us are feeling a growing sense of despair." See how finite the disagreement is? On the question of fixing the banks. That's a good enough point from which to track the divergences between the politico-economics of a Paul Krugman vs. the politico-economics of an Obama/Geithner/Summers triumverate. And Krugman expands on that "growing sense of despair" here, here, here, here, and here. I'll stop, but you get the idea. If you read the posts, they all tackle the disagreement over sound banking policy. And they all avoid the specifically vague rhetoric of sour contrarianism.

A prominent economist disagrees with a popular president's treasury secretary over the politics and execution of banking policy. Normally, only the geekiest of the geeks and wonkiest of the wonks would even be listening. So why make more out of it than it is? Possibly because using Krugman to pit progressives against the president sells magazines?

Keeping Sight of "Don't Ask Don't Tell"

I heard that Robert Gates had gone on FOX News last weekend and pushed a promised revision of the military's Don't Ask, Don't Tell policy "down the road a little bit." Here's more Gates: "The president and I feel like we've got a lot on our plates right now," and, "It continues to be the law and any change in policy would require a change in the law . . . We will follow the law, whatever it is."

By "would require a change in the law" I take it Gates means that DADT revision/repeal would necessarily involve Congress, and that's where things get hairy. CNN offers that

Obama said he would work to end the policy, but because it is dictated by federal law, he can not end it unilaterally.

Congress must pass legislation overturning the policy, which was put into place at the beginning of the Clinton administration. Former President Bill Clinton tried to overturn the "don't ask, don't tell" policy when he took office in 1993, but he was strenuously opposed by the military leadership.

That's in direct contrast to the perception that Obama can simply issue an executive order:
By executive order, however, (and I believe I'm on solid legal ground here), Obama could indeed, at the stroke of a pen, allow "gay men and lesbians to serve openly in the military." And he should include that order among his reversals of Bush's "controversial security policies."

Because this is a security issue -- one that has been medievally delayed for 16 ridiculous years -- and that's precisely how Obama can frame it. It simply dwells among the utterly absurd that a person's open sexual orientation should dictate whether he or she can grip a rifle or translate Arabic in uniform.

That blogger goes on:
Furthermore, this -- not gay marriage -- is the issue on which Obama can call in his rather immense Rick Warren chit. The legal definition of marriage is a state issue, not a White House concern (other than, perhaps, one of "moral suasion"), but the proper fulfillment of Obama's national security obligations demands an end to the don't ask-don't tell nonsense that has interfered with those obligations for far too long.

Now, that's an interesting point, but moot since it appears Obama can't simply consign DADT to the dark ages at the stroke of a pen. While I rather like the notion that Obama might conscript Rick Warren to help endorse long overdue change, all that misses the point. DADT is no longer truly a culture war issue, and therefore Rick Warren is superfluous to the conversation.

When Gates told FOX News that DADT would have to wait, I was a little shocked, if not simply for the speed with which this administration has moved to reverse many of Bush 43's policies. Guantanamo, stem cells, labor, environment, the lasting scope of executive privilege, the global gag rule . . . I'm certainly missing some.

To be fair, while the commitment to end DADT was clear and decisive, it did not include a timeline. And so we should be patient, to a point. It's still the first 100 days, after all. If this change happens in 2009, that'd probably be enough. Not for the men and women our strapped military continues to lose as a result of bad policy, but there is a reasonable expectation for how quickly things can be finessed through Congress. And Republicans have already demonstrated their determined commitment to pure obstructionism.

Obama is almost certainly concerned to avoid Bill Clinton's 1993 mistakes on this, and will move with it when his team can definitely arm him with an upper hand. All the same, we're talking about much-needed translators, engineers, intelligence specialists, and health care providers in addition to general infantry. It's cavalier and self-defeating to believe we can continue to put such people out of work.

Remember also that Obama campaigned on being able to do more than one thing at a time. And to detractors who say he's trying to do too much, he more or less smiles and keeps on multitasking. This is why we elected him, remember? With all this in mind, and then some, Matt Yglesias calls the full plate excuse weak sauce. And I agree. As Steve Benen put it:
Do we want to discharge capable U.S. servicemen and women in the midst of two wars, based on nothing but their sexual orientation, or is military readiness a higher priority than some misguided culture war?
The gay community and ousted military are well organized on this one, but it's in all of our interests to keep an eye and to keep pressure on the administration to tackle this issue soon. I know the Joint Chiefs are busy, but maybe now that Congress has passed the budget we can get the key military policy makers together with our elected officials to shore up this crucial piece of national security policy.

02 April 2009

Attention, Inattention, and Worker Productivity

Facebook at the office, justified.

Steve Benen on Republican Cap-and-Trade

UPDATE: TPM called House Minority Leader John Boehner's office, which yesterday received a letter from John Reilly (mentioned below) informing the congressman that the MIT study had been misrepresented and misappropriated. A spokesman for Boehner said "We stand by our analysis."
_____

Today's Benen on Republicans' carbon emissions cap-and-trade policy propaganda:

But what's especially frustrating isn't just the bogus claim or the ridiculous policy analysis, it's that John Reilly told Republicans that they were wrong, and they kept lying anyway.

They relied on Reilly's scholarship, but when Reilly implored the GOP to tell the truth, they couldn't be bothered. As a result they've lied in press releases, they've lied in op-eds, and they've lied, over and over again, in speeches.

Saying something that's not true is a policy problem. Repeating the false claim after having been told it's not true is a character problem.
Wow. I know nothing about cap-and-trade policy arguments, but the whole post bowls me right over. Read for yourself.

A Brooklyn Bridge Proposal

Jenna and I laughed out loud this morning. I proposed at midnight New Year's Eve in an almost-seedy West Village jazz club, Arthur's Tavern, as the band played Auld Lang Syne and balloons fell from the ceiling and harried waitresses spilled cheap champagne from plastic cups on the shirtsleeves of sotted revelers. But I carried that diamond ring with me all day in case a better opportunity presented. And I almost proposed at two in the afternoon that last day of 2006. It was 45 degrees, sunny, mild, blue skies--completely beautiful. We stood in the middle of the Brooklyn Bridge and saw the whole skyline. I thought "This could be it--this could be as opportune as it gets." And I started to look for my moxy.

But Jenna is a touch afraid of heights, and the bridge catwalk, through which we could see the water below, did nothing to calm her nerves. "I can't look," she kept saying, and "Come on." The way she gripped my elbow as we crossed, I just knew no matter how perfect and memorable that deep knee bend might have been, there was no way I was putting a ring into those trembling fingers. No matter how many times it played in my mind, the result was the same: we both watch in horror as the ring tinks off iron grating and flashes once in the midday sun before disappearing into the East River forever.

So I kept the ring in my pocket and tempered my nerves, convinced myself that a surprise NYC New Year's Eve proposal would be memorable enough without all the horror and drama captured in this couple's story. Later, as we jostled and knocked about in a dark bar and tipsy strangers hugged each other for the new year, and I prepared to say the words and hold the box out to her, I recalled the afternoon catwalk and worried what might happen should the ring slip even in the relative safety of the indoors. I could only picture how it might get kicked across the sticky floor and lodge under a banquette to be lost until the next renovation. Happily, of course, that did not happen. That night after we left the bar, I told her about that moment on the bridge. She confirmed that, picturesque as it was, the Brooklyn Bridge invited an engagement disaster.

And this guy who dropped the diamond managed to recover it on the roadway below. Lucky schmuck. Thank goodness he wasn't out in the middle.

Norm Coleman: How Much is Enough?

The Politico has an interesting piece this morning detailing the politically precarious case of Coleman v. Franken in Minnesota, and the potential for collateral damage as Republicans pursue obstruction even after the state supreme court rules on an appeal (assuming that ruling will not overturn the expected defeat). At risk, according to Politico? Only the governorship of the state and the national fortunes of one Republican rising star (no, not Coleman).

Now, the article extemporizes on the assumption that Coleman's present legal efforts will be thwarted (as it appears they will), that Coleman & Co. will appeal (Coleman's lawyers have indicated as much), and that the appeal will be unsuccessful (Team Coleman must not like their chances there, either, because there's a lot of talk already about the U.S. Supreme Court). That's what will have to happen before Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty finds himself in the uncomfortable straits outlined in the piece.

As a (loose) rule, I shy away from analyzing scenarios predicated on so many what-ifs. But for consideration's sake, if nothing else, the article is worth a quick read.

01 April 2009

The Jay Cutler Sweepstakes

Here's a little link to a blog following the Jay Cutler sweepstakes all the way to . . . the Redskins? I don't share the author's surprise, however, mostly because this is the NFL, and everyone is always looking to, ahem, improve their chances.

Since this blog is based in Denver, and I'm a Broncos fan (except when they play Detroit), Jay Cutler continues to show up on my radar. Especially when it's a twofer, as in my home team the Detroit Lions come into the mix as well. Money quote:

The Bears? Sure. Most kitchen appliances would perform as well as Kyle Orton. The Jets? Absolutely. If Kellen Clemens was any good, he'd have earned the job by now. The Lions? By all means. It would definitely help them to add a second decent player to the roster.
Cue outro.

Avigdor Lieberman and the New Israeli (Hard) Line

Keep tabs on this rhetoric: "If you want peace, prepare for war." Avigdor Lieberman has raised hackles as an aggressive and polarizing figure in Israeli politics, if not an extreme idealogue. And as Israel's governmental transition continues, Lieberman figures to make his colleague Benjamin Netanyahu look moderate.

Said outgoing foreign minister--and defeated challenger in this most recent election--Tzipi Livni, to Lieberman today, "You've convinced me that I was right not to join the government."

Damn. Don't hope for strained relations [That's putting it too mildly. --Ed.] between Israel and her neighbors to get better any time soon.

Drum on Blog

The repetitive and painfully tedious nature of my editing work today, coupled with the slow load times that are part and parcel of the online platform that hosts the content I'm working, does present one perk: I've got plenty of time to divert my attention, in 25-45 second snippets, to all my favorite bloggers.

So it is that I find myself catching up on Kevin Drum from Monday past. Just when I'm coming off a long layoff and looking to get my readership back up (mere double digits would make me happy right about now), Kevin's is the sanguine voice of reason. Bloggers: slow down. You don't have to react to everything. Pick your words thoughtfully, Drum reminds me, and your readers will come find you.

Republicans' April 1 Budget

LATE, LATE, LATE UPDATE: Andrew Sullivan: "I can barely find a single conservative blog touting the thing, which tells you something."

LATER, LATER UPDATE: Kevin Drum tees off on the Social Security proposal.

LATER UPDATE: Did we mention Medicare is flushable?

UPDATE: Yglesias weighs in: Paul Ryan is this year's John McCain (younger, but just as out of touch).
_____

Yo. Check Steve Benen on the Republicans' alternative budget that's finally delivering on some specifics. It ain't pretty. For backup, Benen quotes Krugman: "I'm shocked by the total intellectual collapse of the Republican Party in the face of this economic crisis...."

Economic Hit Man at Regis University: John Perkins' Revolution

Last night we saw John Perkins, author of Confessions of an Economic Hit Man, speak at Regis University here in Denver. To start, I should say that I have read a chapter and assorted pages of Hit Man, but not the whole book. For those who aren't familiar, check the teaser: John Perkins with Amy Goodman, via the Perkins web site.

"Transforming Turmoil into a New Economy" was an exciting talk that veered toward repetition by the end. Perkins was much less the James-Bond-without-a-gun type that his book jacket intimates and more the socially conscious New England lib. Though the Regis cafeteria appearance was a lark--Perkins is fresh off talks at Wharton, Harvard, Stanford, and the U of Michigan Executive MBA program--the speaker gave himself to the room. It should be noted that Perkins was lured to Denver at the request of a single student who, in the course of a senior leadership capstone, called Perkins out of the blue after reading his book. Perkins took the call, and at the end, though he didn't know where Regis University was, accepted an invitation. (Said student then scrambled to raise Perkins' engagement fee.)

Perkins began with the premise that we are at the beginning of a revolution on scale with the agricultural and industrial revolutions that have so decisively shaped our modern world. In the new revolution, the entire world is communicating for the first time. Cell phones penetrate from "the deepest Amazon to the highest Himalayas," and everyone is talking. The Internet now reaches almost every part of the world. Global actions have always had local consequences, but we are more aware than ever how those consequences shake out, thanks to instant communication.

Additionally, the entire world faces the same crises. If crisis used to be a local or a regional incident, such that Californians faced earthquakes and Indonesians tsunamis, we now all face climate change together. We are all affected by deforestation in the Amazon. We are all threatened by the same rising oceans. We are all at risk when our drinking water dries up. And we are all talking about these issues at the same time.

This is the revolution Perkins speaks of. For the first time in human history, we all face the same problems together, and we have the tools to talk about those problems together. Not to talk at the national and nation-state level, but at the person to person level. We no longer wait for our governments or our popular media to carry our voices across oceans. Call, click, compare. We've each got the tools individually to create a groundswell.

Perkins argues that the challenges we face and the ability to discuss them directly with one another now uniquely inform our understanding of global power. Gone are the days when a handful of truly powerful nations, measured by military force and diplomatic achievement--Russia, the U.S., Great Britain--shaped the global environment in which we live. This is not to diminish a rising China's clout, I think, but Perkins would have us understand from where China's new power comes.

Global interconnectedness and interconnectivity allow us to see the few multinational corporations pulling the strings behind all the world's politics. These power mongers know no borders and defy national categorization. These corporations are greater than nations or nation-states, and are unencumbered by the rules that fix governments to particular paths. The multinational corporations are everywhere and nowhere. These companies exist in one country for the leniency of its tax laws, another country for favorable or nonexistent labor laws, and yet another country for the benefits of stock valuations. While these companies manipulate global politics they also transcend the selfsame politics: these companies enjoy alliances with China and Taiwan and Tibet, with Israel and Palestine and the Arab nations. Rather than seeing these organizations on the globe, given the small world our technology has rendered, Perkins suggests that we look at these entities as cloud layers over the earth, moving as convenience, opportunity, or necessity demand and taking advantage of an entire global landscape at a glance.

This new power model, Perkins argues, is actually a good thing. This is another revolution, one that took place without military might. The current global power structure is predicated on finance, and that, therefore, gives every one of us our dollar proxy. If our consumption patterns created this dynamic, then our consumption patterns can undo it.

All that is merely preamble to get to Perkins' main jumping-off point. He sees four points at which we can encourage positive change to make a sustainable, just, and peaceful world.

  1. Consumer responsibility: Forgo a pair of Nikes, because Nike still employs sweatshop labor, and buy Patagonia or another socially responsible manufacturer instead. And send Nike the email explaining why, even though the Swoosh is cheaper, you won't buy it. And send Patagonia an email to explain why, even though the organic cotton sneaker is more expensive, you will buy it. Buy fuel efficient vehicles. And don't drink bottled water.

  2. Get our loyal soldiers back: Perkins quotes his business school prof from the sixties. A good executive is like a loyal soldier who fights for and protects the long-term interest of the country/company. Those loyal soldiers are largely gone from the business world, Perkins laments, replaced by mercenaries. The mercenary objective is to make as much money as quickly as possible. And this will always involve exploitation. Stop rewarding exploitative, mercenary behavior. Insist on sustainable growth.

  3. Create a new economy: There must be a paradigm shift. Instead of featuring mercenaries on the covers of TIME and Fortune, let's demand the responsible stewards, the loyal soldiers. Let's demand that our government, which pays Raytheon and Lockheed to develop weapons technologies, also pay those same companies to develop environmental technologies. It's not out of the realm. If ten percent of the military budget went to social-environmental innovation, where could we find ourselves? Get Monsanto working to engineer new micro-agriculture technologies so that the hungriest in the world can feed themselves. We put men on the moon, right?

  4. Milton Friedman was wrong: Free markets, unchecked, do not reliably self-regulate , mostly because the market engineers (CEOs) will not simply "do the right thing," but will rape and plunder and exploit without regard for peace, justice, or sustainability. And CEOs take those actions because unregulated markets reward those actions fabulously. In other words, consumers reward those actions fabulously. And so we're back to Step 1.

So there it is. Simple enough, right? Well, I dunno. If some of these steps seem specifically vague, perhaps it's because Perkins glosses over the nitty gritty in his 90 minute talk. I'll check the book and get back to you. If there's one thing I wasn't prepared for, it was John Perkins the raving sentimentalist. Seriously. The guy is a spectacular romantic. "For my one-and-a-half-year-old grandson," he says, we have to change the status quo. The first time he used the line, it resonated. By the third time, I was bored.

I will not say that sentimentalism discredits any of his theories. Nor will I suggest that his theories won't work. They carry an air of eminent sense. Consumers are god-awful powerful in this world. Furthermore, Perkins does not argue for a restoration of pre-housing bubble burst and bad-mortgage financial success. Now is the time to get away from all that, he says. We should not want our government to invest again in the magical power of an unchecked stock market. Instead, we should demand that government help to ensure that every corporation be committed to the common good. Make as much profit as you can, he says, but only in the pursuit of a sustainable, just, and peaceful world.

So not a bad story, and not a bad night. I'll look forward to checking Perkins out in more detail via my branch library.